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Evaluation

Every committed run, at its operating point

Rates carry exact 95% Clopper-Pearson intervals.

How this is measured

Runs on gold and smoke are re-scored from their traces; runs on generated sets come from their committed report bundles.

Jev q-v0.1 on smoke-v0.1

run_20260925T042324Z_eee114 · n 10 · auto_process 0.95 (recorded threshold)

questions: q-v0.1 →

The reference smoke run, made with q-v0.1 before q-v0.2 was adopted.

Correct action
80.0%
8/10
95% CI 44.4–97.5%
Automation
20.0%
2/10
95% CI 2.5–55.6%
Unsafe / auto
0.0%
0/2
95% CI 0.0–84.2%
Cost / case
$0.000109
$0.00109 total · sync
trace estimate

Cost: Sum of the traces' estimated cost; not in a committed ledger.

Automation against safety

How many cases each threshold would auto-process, and how many of those would be unsafe.

How this is measured

Each column is one auto_process threshold, re-decided over the stored judgments: its height is the cases that threshold would auto-process, and its red top is the unsafe automations among them. Thresholds are picked on dev sets with a 1% unsafe ceiling: the threshold that automates the most while unsafe automations stay at or below 1% of those automated, ties going to the stricter threshold. The ceiling is a rule for choosing on dev, so it is not drawn here.

Cases auto-processed and unsafe automations at each auto_process threshold, 0.99 to 0.50, for Jev q-v0.1 on smoke-v0.1Operating point 0.95 (recorded threshold): 2 of 10 cases auto-processed, 0 unsafe. No threshold produces an unsafe automation.
Every threshold· 50 rows
auto_processautomatedunsafeunsafe / autocorrect
0.990/100—6/10
0.980/100—6/10
0.970/100—6/10
0.961/1000.0%7/10
0.952/1000.0%8/10
0.942/1000.0%8/10
0.932/1000.0%8/10
0.922/1000.0%8/10
0.913/1000.0%9/10
0.903/1000.0%9/10
0.893/1000.0%9/10
0.883/1000.0%9/10
0.873/1000.0%9/10
0.863/1000.0%9/10
0.853/1000.0%9/10
0.843/1000.0%9/10
0.833/1000.0%9/10
0.823/1000.0%9/10
0.813/1000.0%9/10
0.803/1000.0%9/10
0.793/1000.0%9/10
0.783/1000.0%9/10
0.773/1000.0%9/10
0.763/1000.0%9/10
0.753/1000.0%9/10
0.743/1000.0%9/10
0.733/1000.0%9/10
0.723/1000.0%9/10
0.713/1000.0%9/10
0.703/1000.0%9/10
0.693/1000.0%9/10
0.683/1000.0%9/10
0.673/1000.0%9/10
0.663/1000.0%9/10
0.653/1000.0%9/10
0.643/1000.0%9/10
0.633/1000.0%9/10
0.623/1000.0%9/10
0.613/1000.0%9/10
0.603/1000.0%9/10
0.593/1000.0%9/10
0.583/1000.0%9/10
0.573/1000.0%9/10
0.563/1000.0%9/10
0.553/1000.0%9/10
0.543/1000.0%9/10
0.533/1000.0%9/10
0.523/1000.0%9/10
0.513/1000.0%9/10
0.503/1000.0%9/10
Request info and human review· 2 rates
Request info
40.0%
4/10
95% CI 12.2–73.8%
Human review
40.0%
4/10
95% CI 12.2–73.8%
Calibration· 5 charts

Accuracy against stated confidence for each judgment. Points below the diagonal are over-confident; hollow points hold fewer than 20 cases.

Diagnosis supportedBrier 0.003 · ECE 0.040 · n 10
Reliability of Diagnosis supported: accuracy against stated confidence19
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.60——
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.910.840100.0%
0.9–1.090.973100.0%
Step therapy metBrier 0.008 · ECE 0.043 · n 10
Reliability of Step therapy met: accuracy against stated confidence19
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.60——
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.810.730100.0%
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.090.983100.0%
Documentation completeBrier 0.025 · ECE 0.114 · n 10
Reliability of Documentation complete: accuracy against stated confidence127
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.610.570100.0%
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.920.860100.0%
0.9–1.070.939100.0%
Material contradictionBrier 0.009 · ECE 0.089 · n 10
Reliability of Material contradiction: accuracy against stated confidence46
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.60——
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.940.873100.0%
0.9–1.060.937100.0%
Missing evidenceBrier 0.408 · ECE 0.235 · n 10x from 0: a multiple-choice answer’s top confidence can fall below 0.5.
Reliability of Missing evidence: accuracy against stated confidence37
Bins· 6 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.0–0.50——
0.5–0.60——
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.930.843100.0%
0.9–1.070.98371.4%
All runs on smoke-v0.1· 3 runs
Providerauto_processnCorrect95% CIAutomationUnsafe / auto95% CICost / caseTotal cost
Jev q-v0.10.95108/10 (80.0%)44.4–97.5%2/10 (20.0%)0/2 (0.0%)0.0–84.2%$0.000109$0.00109
Claude0.551010/10 (100.0%)69.2–100.0%3/10 (30.0%)0/3 (0.0%)0.0–70.8%$0.0255$0.255
Rules0.99109/10 (90.0%)55.5–99.7%2/10 (20.0%)0/2 (0.0%)0.0–84.2%$0$0

Cost is from the spend ledgers, or the traces’ own estimates for runs in no ledger. Rules and ground truth make no provider call; “—” marks a run that reused another run’s stored answers. Cost and speed →