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Evaluation

Every committed run, at its operating point

Rates carry exact 95% Clopper-Pearson intervals.

How this is measured

Runs on gold and smoke are re-scored from their traces; runs on generated sets come from their committed report bundles.

Rules on gen-v0.2-dev

run_20260925T092358Z_36888d · n 400 · auto_process 0.99 (chosen on gen-v0.2-dev; recorded at 0.95)

questions: none, rules-v0.1 matches keyword patterns →

Correct action
65.2%
261/400
95% CI 60.4–69.9%
Automation
14.0%
56/400
95% CI 10.8–17.8%
Unsafe / auto
0.0%
0/56
95% CI 0.0–6.4%
Cost / case
$0
$0 total
no provider call

Cost: No provider call.

Automation against safety

How many cases each threshold would auto-process, and how many of those would be unsafe.

This run is flat: every threshold from 0.50 to 0.99 gives the same actions, because its probabilities are all 0, 0.5 or 1.

How this is measured

Each column is one auto_process threshold, re-decided over the stored judgments: its height is the cases that threshold would auto-process, and its red top is the unsafe automations among them. Thresholds are picked on dev sets with a 1% unsafe ceiling: the threshold that automates the most while unsafe automations stay at or below 1% of those automated, ties going to the stricter threshold. The ceiling is a rule for choosing on dev, so it is not drawn here.

Cases auto-processed and unsafe automations at each auto_process threshold, 0.99 to 0.50, for Rules on gen-v0.2-devOperating point 0.99 (chosen on gen-v0.2-dev): 56 of 400 cases auto-processed, 0 unsafe. No threshold produces an unsafe automation.
Every threshold· 50 rows
auto_processautomatedunsafeunsafe / autocorrect
0.9956/40000.0%261/400
0.9856/40000.0%261/400
0.9756/40000.0%261/400
0.9656/40000.0%261/400
0.9556/40000.0%261/400
0.9456/40000.0%261/400
0.9356/40000.0%261/400
0.9256/40000.0%261/400
0.9156/40000.0%261/400
0.9056/40000.0%261/400
0.8956/40000.0%261/400
0.8856/40000.0%261/400
0.8756/40000.0%261/400
0.8656/40000.0%261/400
0.8556/40000.0%261/400
0.8456/40000.0%261/400
0.8356/40000.0%261/400
0.8256/40000.0%261/400
0.8156/40000.0%261/400
0.8056/40000.0%261/400
0.7956/40000.0%261/400
0.7856/40000.0%261/400
0.7756/40000.0%261/400
0.7656/40000.0%261/400
0.7556/40000.0%261/400
0.7456/40000.0%261/400
0.7356/40000.0%261/400
0.7256/40000.0%261/400
0.7156/40000.0%261/400
0.7056/40000.0%261/400
0.6956/40000.0%261/400
0.6856/40000.0%261/400
0.6756/40000.0%261/400
0.6656/40000.0%261/400
0.6556/40000.0%261/400
0.6456/40000.0%261/400
0.6356/40000.0%261/400
0.6256/40000.0%261/400
0.6156/40000.0%261/400
0.6056/40000.0%261/400
0.5956/40000.0%261/400
0.5856/40000.0%261/400
0.5756/40000.0%261/400
0.5656/40000.0%261/400
0.5556/40000.0%261/400
0.5456/40000.0%261/400
0.5356/40000.0%261/400
0.5256/40000.0%261/400
0.5156/40000.0%261/400
0.5056/40000.0%261/400
Request info and human review· 2 rates
Request info
58.8%
235/400
95% CI 53.8–63.6%
Human review
27.3%
109/400
95% CI 22.9–31.9%
Calibration· 5 charts

Accuracy against stated confidence for each judgment. Points below the diagonal are over-confident; hollow points hold fewer than 20 cases.

Diagnosis supportedBrier 0.016 · ECE 0.031 · n 400
Reliability of Diagnosis supported: accuracy against stated confidence25375
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.6250.5000.0%
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.03751.000100.0%
Step therapy metBrier 0.131 · ECE 0.109 · n 400
Reliability of Step therapy met: accuracy against stated confidence209191
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.62090.50029.2%
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.01911.000100.0%
Documentation completeBrier 0.110 · ECE 0.155 · n 400
Reliability of Documentation complete: accuracy against stated confidence176224
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.61760.50085.2%
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.02241.000100.0%
Material contradictionBrier 0.022 · ECE 0.022 · n 400
Reliability of Material contradiction: accuracy against stated confidence400
Bins· 5 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.5–0.60——
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.04001.00097.8%
Missing evidenceBrier 0.175 · ECE 0.155 · n 400x from 0: a multiple-choice answer’s top confidence can fall below 0.5.
Reliability of Missing evidence: accuracy against stated confidence176224
Bins· 6 rows
binnmean confidenceaccuracy
0.0–0.50——
0.5–0.61760.50085.2%
0.6–0.70——
0.7–0.80——
0.8–0.90——
0.9–1.02241.000100.0%
All runs on gen-v0.2-dev· 4 runs
Providerauto_processnCorrect95% CIAutomationUnsafe / auto95% CICost / caseTotal cost
Jev q-v0.20.89400365/400 (91.2%)88.0–93.8%99/400 (24.8%)0/99 (0.0%)0.0–3.7%$0.000112$0.0448
Jev q-v0.10.95400257/400 (64.2%)59.3–69.0%29/400 (7.2%)0/29 (0.0%)0.0–11.9%$0.000111$0.0442
Claude0.55400394/400 (98.5%)96.8–99.4%106/400 (26.5%)0/106 (0.0%)0.0–3.4%$0.0110$4.40
Rules0.99400261/400 (65.2%)60.4–69.9%56/400 (14.0%)0/56 (0.0%)0.0–6.4%$0$0

Cost is from the spend ledgers, or the traces’ own estimates for runs in no ledger. Rules and ground truth make no provider call; “—” marks a run that reused another run’s stored answers. Cost and speed →